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In the Scenario analysis view strategic themes/factors/drivers can be defined that can have an impact on the organization in the future, from the perspective of the possible scenarios associated with them. If a Scenario analysis view is created from a Business Model Canvas, the view can be used for stress testing the Business Model Canvas by analyzing the organization's business model against the strategic themes. These themes can also be initially defined in a PESTEL analysis or Five Forces analysis, and reused in the Scenario analysis view as a starting point.

The Scenario analysis view is one of the strategy views for ArchiMate® modeling and makes use of specific ArchiMate concepts.


On this page:


Creating a Scenario analysis view from a Business Model Canvas

  1. In your Business Model Canvas view, open the canvas menu , and click  to open the Scenario analyses window.



  2. Click the  in the upper right corner of the window. A new Scenario analysis view is created, containing 1 theme, 2 scenarios, and all categories of the busines model as subjects. Additionaly, 2 metrics have been added. For the theme, scenarios and metrics, new driver and metric elements have been added to the model in the model browser.

    Take not that the categories of the Business Model Canvas have been added as sub-subjects within a main subject representing the Business Model Canvas (see gray lines in the framework). The metric cells in the main subject will show the aggregated values of the sub-subjects, once defined.



  3. Define the theme and scenarios by naming them. Add more themes and scenarios if needed, or remove components that you do not need.



    If you have existing driver elements in your model that you want to use instead, then drag them from the model browser onto the view. Easiest way is to drop the driver for the theme onto the view, next to the pre-created theme, and then drop the scenarios on the new theme. Make sure that the structure of main subject and sub-subjects (gray lines in the framework) remains intact when adding new elements.

    Remove the pre-created theme by selecting it in the view, and pressing Delete.



  4. Add the subject assessments to the appropriate cells for the different scenarios by typing the information in the appropriate cells.



  5. Define the impact metrics. Open the Properties window  via the canvas menu. The 2 pre-created metrics are shown.



    If you want to use these metrics to define the impact metrics, then rename them in the model browser, and define them. The metrics must be of a type with a closed list of values.

    If you have existing metrics in your model that you want to use, remove the pre-created metrics from the window (), and add your own (). Unsupported metric types will be indicated with a  next to the metric in the Properties window. By clicking the control you can directly change the type.

  6. Specify the aggregation value that must be shown in the top metric cells by selecting an aggregation type: the Average, Maximum, or Minimum of the metric values from the underlying subjects.



  7. Set the impact score of the metrics for each subject in each scenario by clicking each metric cell, and selecting a value. The metric will be colored accordingly. You cannot set a value for the top metric cells, they show the aggregated values.


Your Scenario analysis view is now complete and ready for stress testing your Business Model Canvas.

Modeling a stand-alone Scenario analysis view

  1. In your ArchiMate model in the model browser, right-click the folder in which you want to add the Scenario analysis view, and then click New > Strategy > Scenario analysis view.

  2. Click the newly added view in the model browser to open it. A empty Scenario analysis view is shown.

  3. Fill the view with themes, scenarios and subjects. Depending on whether you already have elements available in your ArchiMate model, drop existing elements onto the view, or create new elements.

    Use existing elements
    If you have existing elements available, drag them from the model browser onto the view. Start with the themes, then place scenarios on them.



    Add the subjects via  > Subject in the canvas menu, and name them.

    Create new elements
    Open the canvas menu , click , and next a component to add themes, scenarios, and subjects. You can also select a component in the framework and click a  to add additional components. Name the components.


    Alternatively, you can click the bottom text in the view. A basic framework with 2 themes, scenarios, and subjects is automatically created. You can adjust it to your needs by adding or deleting components.

  4. Add the subject assessments in the appropriate cells for the different scenarios. If needed you can change the width of the scenario columns to make the text better fit the cells.


     
  5. Define the impact metrics. Open the Properties window  via the canvas menu, and add metrics. The metrics must be of a type with a closed list of values. Unsupported metric types will be indicated with a  next to the metric in the Properties window. By clicking the control you can directly change the type.

    Leave the Aggregation box of the metrics. Aggregation is not supported in a stand-alone Scenario analysis view, only when the view is created from a Business Model Canvas.



  6. Set the impact score of the metrics for each subject in each scenario. Click each metric in the framework, and select a value. The metric will be colored accordingly.


Using aggregate metric values

Aggregation of metric values in a the Scenario analysis view is only possible when the view has been created from a Business Model Canvas. As shown in the example figure below, the Scenario view on the left is a stand-alone view with one subject. Any additional subjects will be added on the same level as the first subject.

On the right is a Scenario view created from a Business Model Canvas. In this view the subjects of the analysis are located within a Business Model Canvas main subject (selected, with green border). This main subject can show aggregated values (pink border) of the subjects within. In a regular Scenario analysis view there is no possibility to display aggregate metric values.

For each metric that is used, the aggregation type can be set: the average, maximum or minimum of the metric values from the underlying subjects.


Stand-alone Scenario analysis view (left) and Scenario analysis view created from Business Model Canvas (right)


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